• 基于多源遥感数据的1970—2020年巴尔喀什湖动态监测

    Subjects: Geosciences >> Geography submitted time 2022-04-14 Cooperative journals: 《干旱区地理》

    Abstract:利用ICESat-1、CryoSat-2测高数据与水文站实测数据,分析了19702020年巴尔喀什湖水位变化特征,结合MOD09A1数据及相关资料分析了巴尔喀什湖长时间序列面积和水量变化状况,并利用巴尔喀什湖流域灌溉数据及Climatic Research Unit(CRU)气象数据,简要探究了气候变化及人类活动对湖泊长期变化的影响。结果表明:巴尔喀什湖水位在研究时段内总体呈现先下降后波动上升的趋势,1987年水位值达到最(340.64 m),年内水位增长主要发生在2月底至6月初,且暖季(410月)水位波动比冷季(11月次年3月)更剧烈;19702020年巴尔喀什湖面积从19996 km2 减少到16641.93 km2,湖面缩小约16.77%;在此期间巴尔喀什湖水量损失约为12.33 km3。湖泊动态变化为多种因素共同作用的结果,19701987年湖泊动态变化主要由卡普恰盖水库蓄水和哈萨克斯坦境内灌区耕地扩张等人类活动引起;气温与降水在总体趋势上与湖泊的动态变化并无明显相关性,定量讨论各因素对湖泊动态变化的影响,还需进一步研究。

  • 中塔帕米尔公路沿线地区冰川灾害暴露度评估

    Subjects: Geosciences >> Geography submitted time 2025-07-06 Cooperative journals: 《干旱区地理》

    Abstract:基于遥感和GIS技术,获取2000—2021年中塔公路沿线地区冰川变化与冰川灾害时空分布特征,并利用极差变换法和熵权法开展了冰川灾害暴露度评估。结果表明:(1)2000年以来,中塔公路沿线地区冰川面积萎缩速率为0.20%·a-1±0.06%·a-1,物质平衡为-0.25±0.04 m w.e.·a-1,1992年以来的冰湖面积扩张速率为0.45%·a-1,均为帕米尔高原整体水平的数倍。(2)冰川不稳定性的增强直接导致中塔公路沿线地区冰川灾害风险普遍凸显,其中灾害发生的中高风险区域主要集中在公路西段。(3)中塔公路沿线地区冰川灾害暴露度宏观格局主要与致灾因子和承灾体分布密度、地形与地质环境复杂程度,以及气候暖湿化趋势的空间差异等因素有关。研究结果初步揭示了中塔公路沿线地区冰川灾害暴露度的宏观格局,可为灾害脆弱性、影响力和情景预测研究等提供参考。

  • The whole vibration response prediction and body comfort evaluation of turboprop aircraft

    Subjects: Mechanics >> Basic Mechanics submitted time 2023-11-09 Cooperative journals: 《应用力学学报》

    Abstract: A technical method to predict and evaluate the whole vibration response of turboprop aircraft is established in order to estimate the vibration response level and analyze the effect of interior vibration environment.Combining model-based system theory with human body vibration comfort and health risk standardization,a vibration control design flow chart of turboprop aircraft is drawn,in which the key links and elements are identified.This paper tries to solve some key problems including how to obtain vibration loads,create vibration analysis model,simulate vibration response and evaluate vibration environment in cabin.The validity and accuracy of vibration analysis model and vibration response calculation method of the whole aircraft are verified with the deviations between the analyzed results and the ground vibration test or the vibration response measurement wind tunnel test results.The above methods,implementation process and approach provide some reference for the vibration control forward design of turboprop aircraft.