Subjects: Hydraulic Engineering >> Basic Disciplines of Hydraulic Engineering submitted time 2021-02-22
Abstract： Quality and stability are the basic characteristics of the ecosystem, which comprehensively reflect the structure, process, and functional integrity of the ecosystem and the ability to resist interference, self-regulation, and dynamic balance. The Yellow River Basin is a complex giant system composed of many elements. The management and protection of the river basin ecosystem has received more and more attention. It is necessary to start from the integrity of the ecosystem, make overall considerations, and implement comprehensive policies to improve the quality and stability of the ecosystem, and promote a virtuous cycle of the ecosystem, so the quantitative description of system quality and stability is very important. This paper uses the entropy weight model to establish a multi-index long-term series of Ecosystem Quality Index (EQI) to quantitatively describe the changes in ecological quality in the Yellow River Basin in the past 40 years; at the same time, use the dissipative structure theory and the Brussels model to establish the steady-state transformation of the ecosystem Quantitative indicators and methods provide ideas for the study of steady-state transformation of the Yellow River Basin ecosystem. The study found that: (1) The average EQI value of the Yellow River Basin ecosystem over the past 40 years is 0.64, the maximum value is 0.70, and the minimum value is 0.59. The overall quality is showing an oscillating trend for improvement; (2) The steady-state conversion power value of the system is less than 0, indicating that the steady-state conversion power of the ecological-human-society coupling system in the Yellow River Basin is low, but the overall trend is oscillating upward, and the overall trend is getting closer and closer to the critical conditions for achieving steady-state conversion.
Peer Review Status:
Awaiting Review
Subjects: Hydraulic Engineering >> Basic Disciplines of Hydraulic Engineering submitted time 2021-02-19
Abstract： The Yellow River Basin is a complex giant system with numerous elements and complex relationships, which are both interrelated and mutually restrictive. Since the people's control of the Yellow River, watershed governance and protection have achieved remarkable results, but there are still some outstanding problems, which fully embodies the "appearance in the Yellow River, roots in the basin", and reveals the complexity, coordination and integrity of watershed governance and protection work. The high-quality development of the river basin needs to break the traditional "headache and foot pain" river basin governance model, and carry out more in-depth research from the perspective of comprehensive governance, system governance, and source governance. In particular, it is urgent to study the comprehensive evaluation theory of watershed development quality. Based on basic theories such as system science and information theory, this research puts forward a comprehensive evaluation theory of watershed development quality, constructs a basin development index (BDI) and a three-tier evaluation system of macro-medium-micro level, and explores the evolution law of the watershed giant system, Provide technical support and theoretical basis for river basin governance and protection."
Peer Review Status:Awaiting Review
Subjects: Hydraulic Engineering >> Basic Disciplines of Hydraulic Engineering submitted time 2021-01-30
Abstract： From the perspective of systematic thinking, this study applied the theories of information entropy and dissipative structure to comprehensively evaluate and analyze the evolution of the complex system of the Yellow River Basin over the past 40 years. With the concept of “Basin Development Index (BDI shortly)”, a preliminary scientific comprehensive evaluation method system of basin development quality is established. Results of the model calculation show that the ratio of per capita GDP in the basin to the national average and the total sedimentation in the lower Yellow River have occupied the largest weight for many years, and have had a relatively greater impact on the development of the basin in different historical periods. During the entire 40 years, the value of BDI has varied from 50.5 points in 1996 to 66.6 points in 2019, and has generally experienced a decreasing and an increasing stage. The evolution of BDI of Yellow River basin is consistent with the overall law of the basin development and has a great correlation with some major events happened in the basin. In addition, this research method can be extended to other fields such as regional governance. Compared with the current evaluation models mainly based on economic indicators, this novel methodology is more systematic and scientific, and will better serve the decision-making with more scientific thoughts.
Peer Review Status:Awaiting Review
Subjects: Information Science and Systems Science >> Basic Disciplines of Information Science and Systems Science submitted time 2021-01-26
Abstract： It is an important decision-making basis for the high-quality development of the whole basin in mastering the evolution of the spatio-temporal pattern in the economic development of the Yellow River Basin systematically. At present, GDP is the main reference to measure the pattern of economic development, however, GDP statistics have the disadvantages of not uniform caliber and low spatial resolution, it is difficult to accurately characterize the evolution pattern of economic development in space and time. The nightlight data reflect it effectively with its relatively objective characteristics. Through the correction and processing of the national nightlight data from 1992 to 2013, this paper obtains the national and watershed nightlight data images, conducts economic spatial aggregation analysis, and compares and analyzes the relevant factors. The results show that the areas with high economic spatial aggregation are distributed near the Yellow River channel, from the upper reaches to the lower reaches of the Yellow River, the heat intensity is gradually increasing, and the provincial capital city is the core area, spreading outwards, showing the tendency of the polymerization area to disperse to the surrounding area under the condition that the polymerization of the old polymerization point is intensified; The basin development index BDI has a certain correlation, the overall trend of nightlight data in 9 provinces of the basin is basically consistent with the change trend of the national nightlight data, showing a steady upward trend, but the overall value is lower than the national nightlight data, the high-quality development of the Yellow River basin is imminent.
Peer Review Status:Awaiting Review
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